As expected, the credit crunch had a big impact on sales last month. Sales of single-family, re-sale homes fell 39.3% from the month before, and were off 33.3% year-over-year. Year-to-date, home sales are down 2.2%. We expect sales to be slow this month, then start to recover at the end of the quarter as the credit crunch is alleviated.
The median price for single-family, re-sale homes in Marin County fell 3.3% in September, compared to the month before, up 14% year-over-year. The average price rose 7.8% to set a new record, and was up 22.6% year-over-year.
The median price for condos soared 29% to $632,000, a new record, and was up 14.8%, year-over-year. The average price rose 11.2% to $704,114, up 18.4% compared to September 2006. With only 22 condos sold last month, these prices are certainly anomalous. Condo sales were down 52.2% from August, and off 60.7% year-over-year. Year-to-date, condo sales are off 17.1%.
Prices have not really declined here in Marin. What has declined is the number of sales as well as the percentage of homes under contract. As you can see from the numbers the average sales price has increased over the prior month as well as the prior year. The strongest segment of the market is the "luxury Market" those homes over $2 million. Buyers are still making offers on good properties.
The percentage of listed home in contract, "Pending listed ratio" is a good indication of the strength of each market. Anything between a 20%-25% ratio bodes a balanced market where we have an equal number of buyers and sellers. Anything less than 20% is pushing towards a buyer's market. As you can see from the numbers Marin is in a Buyer's market (see chart below), and has been there for at least the past 6 months. It is important to keep in mind that real estate in Marin is location specific, and you will need to drill down to each market segment before you draw a broad conclusion as some areas continue to have strength especially those towns in southern Marin with good school districts.
Buyers right now have the upper hand but if rates continue to move downward and the credit markets stabilize then the market will become more competitive for buyers. If you are pre-approved for a loan and are ready to make an offer now is as good a time as any to step in and test the waters.
Although the credit crunch is having an effect on home sales, there is money available at reasonable rates from portfolio lenders. These are lenders that loan their own money and do not bundle up the loans for re-sale on Wall Street. Some examples are ING, local credit unions, and some small local business banks. Also, Countrywide, and some of the bigger banks, are planning to keep more of their loans in-house.
The real estate market is very hard to generalize. It is a market made up of many micro markets. For complete information on a particular neighborhood or for an evaluation of your home's worth, call me.
If I can help you devise a strategy, call or click the buying or selling link in the menu to the left.
Monthly Statistics
Complete monthly sales statistics for Marin County are on my website. Monthly graphs are available for each city in the county. Just email me!
Read the entire October Marin Real Estate Newsletter October Newsletter
Showing posts with label Marin Homes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Marin Homes. Show all posts
Monday, October 15, 2007
Sunday, July 15, 2007
July Marin Real Estate News
Home prices are continuing the move upward and sales volume is moving slightly lower as buyers are being very particular on what they will buy in this environment. There are some areas that are holding up quite well under any perceived pressure for lower prices, those being Larkspur, Greenbrae, Mill Valley and Corte Madera. We have seen some record prices for homes sold in Corte Madera in the last month. 7 Grace Court sold for $3.3 Million; a wonderful 5 Bedroom 3 bath home on one half acre built in 2002. This was the second highest sale since a $3.6 Million home on Verona Place sold in May 2007.
The chart below shows a combination of Single Family Residences combined with condos. As the condo market has slowed down dramatically, it shows the overall market as a buyers market. When you break out the Single Family Residences, however, the market is closer to a balanced market.
As of July 11 there were 967 Single Family Homes on the market. Of those 252 are in contract which is 26% of the total. That leaves 715 homes on the market and available for buyers to enter into contracts. This overall calculates as a balanced/Buyers market. If you look at City by City you can see that Mill Valley is at 37%, Corte Madera at 52% and Greenbrae at 42%. Some of the lagging communities in % in contract are San Rafael at 24%, Sausalito at 25% and Novato at 23%. Remember that real estate in Marin is Community specific so you must look at the details to ascertain the Real Estate heath of each community.
The median price for single-family, re-sale homes in Marin County rose 12.1% in June, compared to the month before, and set a new record of $1,160,000. This is 7.9% higher than last June. The average price gained 0.2%, up 0.8% year-over-year.
Sales of single-family homes were down 7.1% from May, off 9% year-over-year. Year-to-date, home sales are outpacing last year's rate. Marin is the only county in the Bay Area with higher home sales this year than last.
The median price for condos rose 1.8% to $595,000, a year-over-year gain of 2.2%. The average price gained 1.5% to $644,772, down 0.2% compared to June 2006. Condo sales dropped 1.7% from May, and were down 3.3% year-over-year.
As always, it's important to view the individual city and price range stats - see the chart below for more details.
To see the entire newsletter go to: July Marin Real Estate News
The chart below shows a combination of Single Family Residences combined with condos. As the condo market has slowed down dramatically, it shows the overall market as a buyers market. When you break out the Single Family Residences, however, the market is closer to a balanced market.
As of July 11 there were 967 Single Family Homes on the market. Of those 252 are in contract which is 26% of the total. That leaves 715 homes on the market and available for buyers to enter into contracts. This overall calculates as a balanced/Buyers market. If you look at City by City you can see that Mill Valley is at 37%, Corte Madera at 52% and Greenbrae at 42%. Some of the lagging communities in % in contract are San Rafael at 24%, Sausalito at 25% and Novato at 23%. Remember that real estate in Marin is Community specific so you must look at the details to ascertain the Real Estate heath of each community.
The median price for single-family, re-sale homes in Marin County rose 12.1% in June, compared to the month before, and set a new record of $1,160,000. This is 7.9% higher than last June. The average price gained 0.2%, up 0.8% year-over-year.
Sales of single-family homes were down 7.1% from May, off 9% year-over-year. Year-to-date, home sales are outpacing last year's rate. Marin is the only county in the Bay Area with higher home sales this year than last.
The median price for condos rose 1.8% to $595,000, a year-over-year gain of 2.2%. The average price gained 1.5% to $644,772, down 0.2% compared to June 2006. Condo sales dropped 1.7% from May, and were down 3.3% year-over-year.
As always, it's important to view the individual city and price range stats - see the chart below for more details.
To see the entire newsletter go to: July Marin Real Estate News
Saturday, April 28, 2007
April 2007 Marin Real Estate News
To view the stats for this month: April 2007 Marin Real Estate Home Sales
These statistics show how many homes are available for sale in Marin, and of those how many are currently in contract (either pending or contingent. For the 7th month in a row, the Marin overall real estate market is in a “Buyers Market.” We are still hovering close to a Balanced Market.
As always, it’s important to view the individual city and price range stats for more details:
Although the overall market shows that it’s a “Buyers Market’, only Greenbrae, Sausalito and Tiburon are the only cities still in that “Buyers” market. Fairfax is again (for the 2nd month in a row) in a Sellers market! This is the time to sell your Fairfax home. I believe this is the case because Fairfax has tended to be slightly less on the average sales. Kentfield, Larkspur and Mill Valley are all in a “Sellers Market.” Corte Madera, Ross, San Anselmo, and San Rafael are all in a “Balanced Market.
Homes priced from $500,000 to $1.5M are all in a “Balanced Market”. I think that the general consensus among agents currently is that there is a lack of inventory. Interest rates have been very good and there are buyers ready to purchase homes, but there is still a lack of homes that are finished and priced correctly. Multiple offers are becoming commonplace again.
If you are looking to purchase a home, it’s important that you be ready with a pre-approval letter so that you can be ready if the home that fits your requirements comes on the market. Buyers once again have to forgo some of their “must-haves” and make compromises for what they are looking for.
Recent local head lines are still selling newspapers, but when you drill down on articles you’ll find that the Marin real estate market hasn’t been affected by junk-bonds and foreclosures. For example, a recent Marin Independent Journal headline touted: Mortgage defaults up 55 % in Marin” “The number of home foreclosures initiated in Marin from January to March increased 55 percent over the first quarter of last year, a leading real estate research firm reported Monday.” but then the article continued to say: But Marin continued to enjoy one of the lowest default rates among California counties, according to DataQuick Information Systems.” DataQuick also said mortgages were least likely to go into default in Marin, San Francisco and San Mateo counties.
Defaults were most likely in Sacramento, Riverside and San Joaquin counties.
John Karevoll, an analyst with DataQuick, said the level of defaults and foreclosures in the Bay Area is still too low to drag down housing prices. But in the Central Valley and in Southern California's Inland Empire, there are enough foreclosures that any sign of recession could pose a big problem for housing prices there, he said.
My advice?
For buyers: the same as last month: prime property is selling quickly and, in many instances, with multiple offers. Buyers need to be prepared to make an offer immediately on prime property. That means you need to have a loan in place. For more information about buying in a multiple offer situation, call me.
For sellers: where your home is, the condition and what segment of the market it's in, entry-level, move-up or million plus, are the determining factors in whether or not you will be able to sell your home quickly and for a good price. Demand in the entry-level market has fallen, which will impact the move-up market. The million dollar plus market is pretty much immune to the sub-prime mortgage tightening.
The real estate market is very hard to generalize. It is a market made up of many micro markets. For complete information on a particular neighborhood or for an evaluation of your home's worth, call me. If I can help you devise a strategy, call or click the buying or selling link in the menu above.
I’m always searching for ways to bring my clients and readers more local real estate statistics. I’m pleased to announce the launch of my new Marin home Sales Statistics page. To view, go to: Marin Real Estate Statistics.
If you know of anyone who would like to receive this monthly newsletter or is thinking of either buying or selling a home please let me know. I’d love your referrals!
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